Monograph (peer-reviewed)

Building the Airplane While Flying: Adapting NATO’s Force Structure in an Era of Uncertainty,” NATO Defence College, May 2019.

Book Chapters (peer-reviewed)

“The United States and the Middle East: Interests, Risks, Costs,” with Daniel Byman, Sustainable Security: Rethinking American National Security Strategy, eds. Benjamin Valentino and Jeremy Suri (Oxford University Press, 2016).

“The Normative Foundations for a New Global Concert,” (with Kyle Lascurettes) in Great Power Multilateralism and War Prevention: Concert or Contest? (Routledge Press, Forthcoming).


Lessons Learned and Unlearned: The Tenth Anniversary of September 11, 2001 (The Center for First Amendment Studies: California State University, 2011)

Research In Progress

Book Project

Fighting Friends: Institutional Cooperation and Military Effectiveness in Multinational Wars.

Working Papers

“Domestic Politics, Threat Perceptions, and the Alliance Security Dilemma: The Case of South Korea, 1993-2018,” (Under Review)

“What is an Alliance? Understanding Alliance and Coalitions in the 21st Century”

“Alliance and Coalition Choices in International Military Crisis, 1918-2010”

“Talking while Fighting: Coercion and Wartime Negotiations in the Korean War”

 “Backsliding into History: Regime Type and ‘Third Wave’ Reversals”

Other Projects

“Benign Neglect? US Disengagement and Civil War Duration since 2001” with Costantino Pischedda (University of Miami)

“Can You Have It Both Ways? Plausible Deniability and Coercive Effectiveness,” with Costantino Pischedda (University of Miami)


Drawing the Line on U.S. Reassurance to Eastern Europe,” Lawfare, January 6, 2019.

Could a Nuclear Deal Bring the U.S. Military Presence in Korea to an End? Don’t Count on it,” Modern War Institute, April 19, 2018.

Here’s the Big Change Seoul Wants to Make to the U.S.-South Korean Military Command Relationship,” Modern War Institute, November 6, 2017.

Calm Down, Everyone. America is Still Committed to Europe’s Defense,” War on the Rocks, May 25, 2017.

What to Expect at Today’s NATO Leaders Meeting,” War on the Rocks, May 25, 2017.

Worried about NATO? Here are three things to watch.” Washington Post (Monkey Cage), January 26, 2017.

The U.S. and Russia are actually cooperating in Syria. Can it work?Washington Post (Monkey Cage), September 19, 2016.

“Abbas’ Misbegotten Peace Bid,” Boston Globe, June 11, 2008.

“As Egyptians Go to the Polls, Middle Class Discontent on the Rise,” World Politics Review, April 7, 2008.

“Why Arabs Snub Syria,” Middle East Times, March 28, 2008.

“The Long Road to Damascus,” The National Interest, November 19, 2007.

“A Caricature of Respect,” Los Angeles Times, February 7, 2006.


I am a past contributor to Erica Chenoweth and Barbara Walter’s blog, Political Violence @ A Glance.

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